CONSTRAIN

Predicting how the climate will change over the next 20-50 years, as well as defining emissions pathways to keep the world on track, requires a better understanding of how several human and natural factors will affect the climate in coming decades. These include how atmospheric aerosols affect the Earth’s radiation budget, and the roles of clouds and oceans in driving climate change.

Illustrasjon: DALL-E.

Prosjektfakta

Finansiering

European Union's Horizon 2020

Fagområder

Partikler i atmosfæren

Virkninger av klimaendringer internasjonalt

Visit the CONSTRAIN web page here:

https://constrain-eu.org/about/

CONSTRAIN, a consortium of 14 European partners, is investigating these factors, feeding them into climate models to reduce uncertainties in, and create improved climate projections for, the next 20-50 years, on regional as well as global scales.

It is also translating this new scientific understanding into an improved and up-to-date evidence base aimed at informing international climate policy, and supporting decisions on climate mitigation and adaptation.

Constrain focuses on three climate science knowledge gaps plus one policy-facing knowledge gap:

CONSTRAIN-Knowledge-Gap-Diagram-v2-300dpi-scaled-600x680.jpg — CONSTRAIN is structured around three science knowledge gaps particularly relevant for climate projections on the 20-50 year timeframe and a fourth knowledge gap on the translation of new science in societal decisions

Knowledge gaps

Knowledge Gap A: The magnitude and pattern of effective radiative forcing

Knowledge Gap B: The magnitude of cloud feedbacks and the role of cloud-circulation coupling in determining the pattern of climate change and climate sensitivity

Knowledge Gap C: The manner in which ocean variability conditions the response of the climate system to effective radiative forcings on different timescales

Knowledge Gap D: Translation of insights and uncertainties in variability and forced response on 20-50 year timescales into improved projections and effective adaptation and mitigation policy decisions

Involverte fra CICERO

Gunnar Myhre

Forskningsleder

Artikler

Renere luft gir varmere klode

Publisert 3.4.2024

Utslipp av små partikler er hovedårsaken til dårlig luftkvalitet globalt, og de siste årene har slike utslipp blitt redusert. Dette har ført til mer varme i klimasystemet vårt, viser en ny internasjonal studie ledet av CICERO og publisert i journalen Nature Communications Earth & Environment.

Temperaturendringer | Partikler i atmosfæren

Relatert forskningsgrupper

Atmosfæreforskning

Forskningsgruppen jobber med et bredt spekter av emner innen atmosfæriske fag. Vi er først og fremst en modelleringsfaggruppe. Vi studerer strålingspådriv i klimasystemet og prøver å finne ut hvilken rolle gasser, aerosoler og skyer spiller.