Research on IPCC emissions scenario ensembles, Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), uncertainty and robustness of modelling insights, and the appropriate use of modelling to guide decision making, using a variety of disciplinary approaches and methods.
Ida Sognnæs holds a PhD (2020) from the University of Cambridge, Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, an MSc (2015) in Energy and Resources, University of California, Berkeley, an MSc (2011) in Applied Mathematics and Physics, Norwegian University of Technology and Science (NTNU), and a BSc (2012) in Political Science, NTNU. She has also been a visiting researcher at the University of Oxford, Institute for New Economic Thinking (2019).
Ida’s current research focuses on the use of IPCC emissions scenario ensembles to obtain robust insights on climate mitigation, the identification of key uncertainties, assumptions, and biases, and the use of emissions scenarios by policy makers, energy companies, and the financial sector. She also works on the history of IAMs, the economics of climate change and the low-carbon transition, technological change modelling, values in science, and science policy. Ida uses mixed quantitative and qualitative methods in her research.
Ida currently leads the Norwegian Research Council funded project StressTest: Using scenarios to assess climate risk in the financial sector. She led the first global modelling run in the EU Horizon 2020 funded project 'PARIS REINFORCE'.
Global fossil co₂ emissions increase amidst turmoil in energy markets
Global fossil co₂ emissions are expected to grow 1.0% in 2022 as the COVID recovery continues amidst turmoil in energy markets. Growth in oil use, particularly aviation, and coal use are behind most of the increase in 2022.
Oil and gas policy | International climate policy | Carbon budget | Carbon emissions globally
Large uncertainty in warming outcomes of current policies and emission pledges
During the recent Glasgow Climate Conference (COP26) there was a lot of focus on the climate outcomes of new climate policy pledges. A new analysis shows that these outcomes are more uncertain then often assumed.
Carbon emissions globally | International climate policy | Climate Models | Emission scenarios
StressTest: Using scenarios to assess climate risk in the financial sector
Increasingly, financial decision-makers are asked to assess, disclose and respond to climate-related risks across a range of potential future scenarios. In the project StressTest, CICERO will produce scenario data and guidelines that will allow help financial actors to respond to regulatory initiatives on scenario use.
Emission scenarios | Climate risk | Climate finance
PARIS REINFORCE: Delivering on the Paris Agreement: A demand-driven, integrated assessment modelling approach
The PARIS REINFORCE EU-funded project is developing a novel, demand-driven, integrated assessment model-oriented framework for effectively supporting the design and analysis of climate policies in the EU as well as in other major emitters and selected less emitting countries.
Utslippsscenarier | Klimapolitikk i EU | Klimapolitikk internasjonalt | Globale klimamål | Emission scenarios | EU climate policy | International climate policy | Global climate targets
4C – Climate-Carbon Interactions in the Current Century
The EU-funded project 4C (Climate-Carbon Interactions in the Current Century) aims to fill the knowledge gap surrounding climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide emissions by reducing the uncertainty in our quantitative understanding of carbon-climate interactions and feedbacks.
Climate Models | Carbon emissions globally | Temperature changes | Carbon budget
The research group works to understand the trends and drivers of historical and future emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, and their effect on the climate.