CICERO

Understanding the socio-economic impacts of climate change and climate extremes. We produce knowledge that is relevant for decision-making in various sectors such as agriculture, energy, health, transport, and investments.

Recent news

Rising use of nitrogen fertilisers could jeopardise global climate goals

The growing use of nitrogen fertilisers in world food production could put ambitious climate targets out of reach, as it leads to rising levels of nitrous oxide (N2O) in the atmosphere, a new study shows.

Global fossil CO₂ emissions dropped by 17% amid coronavirus lockdowns

Daily global fossil CO₂ emissions fell by 17% in early April 2020 compared to 2019 amid coronavirus lockdowns in most countries, with full-year 2020 emissions set to decrease by up to 7% depending on future social distancing.

HEATCOST

HEATCOST will quantify health risks attributable to heat and air pollution (with a particular focus on air pollution from wildfires) in main world regions under selected climate scenarios and socioeconomic pathways.

Coronavirus and climate: Five scientists share their views

Over the past few weeks, there has been a decline in air pollution and a change in people’s habits and communication forms following the introduction of strict measures to prevent the spread of coronavirus. We have asked five CICERO scientists – each with different academic backgrounds – three questions about Covid-19’s impact on the climate.

The flip side of the new Coronavirus outbreak - reduced air pollution mortalities?

In February, air pollution over large parts of China was reduced by 20 to 30 percent (1). If air pollution levels remain this low for a longer-term period, 50,000 - 100,000 premature deaths could be avoided according to calculations by CICERO, Norway's leading institute for climate research.

Conflicts of interests by limiting global warming to +3C

Hans Asbjørn Aaheim, Taoyuan Wei, Bård Romstad

Population-weighted exposure to PM 2.5 pollution in China: An integrated approach

Kristin Aunan, Qiao Ma, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Shuxiao Wang

From Hazard to Risk

Jana Sillmann, S. Russo, Sebastian Sippel, Kristina Alnes

Influence of blocking on Northern European and Western Russian heatwaves in large climate model ensembles

Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, James Anstey, Erich M. Fischer, Christian M. Grams, S. Russo

RECEIPT

RECEIPT (REmote Climate Effects and their Impact on European sustainability, Policy and Trade) will map potential impacts and risks of climate extremes outside Europe on European socio-economic sectors.

Exhaustion

Air pollution is currently the largest environmental killer in Europe, causing 500,000 premature deaths annually. Heatwaves can make air pollution more lethal and cause more heart and lung diseases. Together with Universitetet i Oslo (UiO) the Norwegian Institute of Public Health and 11 other European institutions CICERO will help increase European resilience towards climate change.

S2S4E Climate Services for Clean Energy

S2S4E is a European climate services innovation project funded by Horizon2020. CICERO is the second largest partner of the consortium and leads two work packages.

ClimINVEST - Tools for climate-resilient investment

<strong>Climate change is increasingly affecting financial assets across the globe. The ClimINVEST project brings scientists and investors together to develop tailored tools for assessing physical climate risk and identifying climate-resilient investment opportunities. </strong>

Airborne CAS

Airborne studies human dimensions of air pollution in China in a historical perspective. How do people’s experiences and fears of air pollution transform into new visions of sustainability and creative forms of action?

ClimateXL

Weather and climate extremes are likely to be one of the largest societal challenges associated with climate change in this century. Under climate change, these extreme events will intensify and become more frequent, and consequently the risk of severe and costly damage for humans and infrastructure will increase.

Translating Weather Extremes into the Future – a case for Norway

TWEX-Future.no will be taking a novel “Tales of future weather” approach. This approach suggests that scenarios tailored to a specific region and stakeholder in combination with numerical weather prediction models will offer a more realistic picture of what future weather might look like, hence facilitating adaptation planning and implementation.

CiXPAG - Interaction of Climate Extremes, Air Pollution and Agro-ecosystems

Future food production, and consequently food security, is very sensitive to both climate change and air pollution. So far, little is known about how climate extremes and ozone pollution interact to affect agriculture or about the relative effectiveness of climate change adaptation and ozone regulation measures for various crops and regions.

Heat waves in Africa every year from 2040?

A wet, hot future

Human health under threat by extreme heat and air pollution