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Can we achieve the Paris Agreement? How do we represent known unknowns in climate models? What is the cost of failure?
In order to reduce uncertainty, we have to represent uncertainty.
Climate risk assessments require linking mitigation decisions to impacts and their consequences. In order to get there, we need to reconsider how we design climate experiments: focusing on risks linked to decisions.
Ben's research aims to achieve this through better characterisation of uncertainties of mitigation technology and negative emissions, formal statistical tools to highlight conditional risks of mitigation decisions and robust characterization of how climate risks at the global scale project onto the human scale.